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AN INSIGHT
TO DAY TRADING

An In-Depth Analysis of the Top 3 Energy Futures: Crude Oil, Natural Gas, and Gasoline


Energy Futures

The accessibility of energy has changed the course of humankind throughout the most recent couple of hundreds of years, and the energy framework has changed drastically since the industrial revolution. Demand for energy is developing across numerous nations on the planet, as individual’s wealth increases while the population is growing. In this blog post, we will delve into the world of energy futures, focusing specifically on crude oil futures, natural gas futures, and gasoline futures. By exploring these markets, we aim to provide you with valuable insights into the dynamics and opportunities within the energy sector.



Energy Futures and Global Consumption


The energy landscape is constantly evolving, driven by increasing global consumption and the quest for sustainable alternatives. In this section, we will delve into the dynamics of energy futures and examine the patterns of global energy consumption.



Overview of Global Energy Consumption


The demand for energy has experienced significant growth worldwide, fuelled by factors such as rising living standards and population expansion. As nations strive to meet the energy needs of their growing economies, the consumption of various energy sources has reached unprecedented levels.



Dominance of Petroleum Products


Petroleum products have long played a dominant role in global energy consumption. According to a report published by REN21, petroleum products accounted for approximately 80% of worldwide energy consumption in 2019. This figure has remained relatively stable over the past decade, highlighting the enduring significance of fossil fuels in meeting global energy demands.



Comparison with Renewable Energy Growth


While there has been a steady increase in renewable energy generation in recent years, the share of fossil fuels in the global energy mix has persisted. From 2009 to 2019, worldwide renewable energy capacity expanded by approximately 5% annually. However, during the same period, the capacity for fossil fuels increased by 1.7%. As a result, coal, oil, and gas continued to represent a substantial portion of global energy usage.



Shifting Energy Utilisation Structure


Despite the dominance of fossil fuels, there have been notable shifts in the energy utilisation structure. Over the past decade, the share of renewables in the global energy mix increased from 8.7% to 11.2%. This growth, however, has not significantly impacted the overall portion of petroleum products in the energy consumption structure, which remained relatively constant at around 80.2% in 2019.


Understanding the dynamics of global energy consumption and the continued reliance on fossil fuels sets the stage for a deeper exploration of specific energy futures. In the following sections, we will focus on crude oil futures, natural gas futures, and gasoline futures, uncovering their significance in the energy market and the opportunities they present.



1. Crude Oil Futures


Crude oil stands as the primary energy source globally, playing a pivotal role in various industries. In this section, we will explore the world of crude oil futures, examining its significance, production statistics, and the prominence of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures.



Crude Oil as a Primary Energy Source


Crude oil serves as a finite resource and a versatile energy source. Through refining processes, it can be transformed into everyday products such as gasoline, diesel fuel, and petrochemicals used in plastics production. The extensive range of applications makes crude oil a fundamental component of modern society.



Remarkable Growth in Crude Oil Trading


Over the past century, the commodity markets have undergone a profound transformation. Agricultural staples like corn and wheat, which once dominated the markets, have been overshadowed by crude oil. Today, crude oil stands as the most actively traded commodity globally, with an average global consumption of around 35.5 billion barrels per year, as reported by the EIA in 2020.



United States' Role in Crude Oil Production


The United States emerges as a global leader in the oil production business, with Texas leading the pack. Texas alone produces over 1.7 billion barrels of oil each year and maintains an oil reserve exceeding 18 billion barrels. Other significant oil-producing countries include Saudi Arabia and Russia, although the United States holds a prominent position.



West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil Futures


The NYMEX, part of the CME Group in the United States, hosts the world's most liquid oil contracts, known as West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures. These futures contracts serve as a benchmark for global oil prices and attract substantial trading volume. Understanding the dynamics of WTI crude oil futures provides valuable insights for traders and investors navigating the energy markets.


By delving into the intricacies of crude oil futures, we gain a deeper understanding of the pivotal role that this commodity plays in the global economy. The next section will focus on natural gas futures, another crucial component of the energy futures market, and shed light on its historical background, production statistics, and trading dynamics.


CRUDE OIL FUTURES - CONTRACT SPECIFICATIONS

​

Contract Unit

1,000 barrels

Price Quotation

U.S. dollars and cents per barrel

Trading Hours

Sunday - Friday 6:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m.

Minimum Price Fluctuation

0.01 per barrel = $10.00

Product Code

CL

Listed Contracts

Monthly contracts listed for the current year and the next 10 calendar years.

Settlement Method

Deliverable

Last Trading Day

Trading terminates 3 business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month prior to the contract month.

Settlement Procedures

Exchange

NYMEX



2. Natural Gas Futures


Natural gas, a versatile energy resource, has become an integral part of the global energy landscape. In this section, we will explore the world of natural gas futures, including its historical significance, production statistics, and the prominence of the United States as a major producer.



Historical Background and Commercialisation of Natural Gas


Natural gas has been known to ancient civilisations, but its commercialisation began with the industrial revolution. In 1785, Great Britain started using natural gas extracted from coal to illuminate houses and streets. Throughout the 20th century, the development of pipelines enabled more efficient transportation and expanded markets for natural gas. This improved infrastructure made natural gas widely available for various applications, including home heating, cooking, and industrial processes.



United States as the Largest Global Producer


Presently, the United States holds the position of the largest global producer of natural gas. This is attributed to advancements in drilling techniques, particularly hydraulic fracturing, which has unlocked vast reserves of natural gas. Following the United States, Russia and Iran rank as significant producers of this energy resource.



Key Role of Natural Gas in Energy Generation


Natural gas plays a crucial role in electricity generation, serving as a reliable and cleaner-burning alternative to coal. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, over 50% of the energy used by residential and commercial customers in the United States is allocated to natural gas. Additionally, more than 40% of the energy consumed by industries relies on natural gas, further illustrating its significance as an energy commodity.



Natural Gas Futures and Trading Dynamics


Natural gas futures are actively traded at the NYMEX, part of the CME Group in the United States. These futures contracts allow market participants to hedge against price fluctuations and speculate on the future value of natural gas. Understanding the dynamics of natural gas futures provides valuable insights into the energy market and assists traders and investors in making informed decisions.


By exploring natural gas futures, we gain a deeper understanding of the pivotal role that this versatile energy resource plays in generating electricity and fueling various sectors. The subsequent section will focus on gasoline futures, a critical component in the transportation sector, and shed light on its production, consumption, and trading dynamics.


NATURAL GAS FUTURES - CONTRACT SPECIFICATIONS

​

Contract Unit

10,000 MMBtu

Price Quotation

U.S. dollars and cents per MMBtu

Trading Hours

Sunday - Friday 6:00 p.m. - 5:00 p.m. (5:00 p.m. - 4:00 p.m. /CT)

Minimum Price Fluctuation

Intercommodity spreads: 0.00025 per MMBtu = $2.50

Product Code

NG

Listed Contracts

Monthly contracts listed for the current year and the next 12 calendar years.

Settlement Method

Deliverable

Last Trading Day

Trading terminates on the 3rd last business day of the month prior to the contract month.

Settlement Procedures

Exchange

NYMEX



3. Gasoline Futures


Gasoline, a fuel derived from crude oil, holds immense significance as the primary source of energy for vehicles worldwide. In this section, we will delve into the realm of gasoline futures, examining its production, consumption statistics, and the role of the United States as a major player in the gasoline market.



The Importance of Gasoline as a Fuel


Gasoline has played a transformative role in transportation since the invention of the automobile. As a refined product of crude oil, it has become the primary fuel for internal combustion engines in cars, trucks, and motorcycles. The widespread use of gasoline makes it one of the most significant and recognisable commodities globally.



Gasoline Production and Refining Process


Gasoline production takes place in oil refineries, where crude oil is subjected to a refining process. Through various refining techniques, the complex mixture of hydrocarbons present in crude oil is separated, with the resulting gasoline extracted for use as a motor fuel. This refining process ensures that the gasoline meets the required specifications for efficient combustion and performance in vehicles.



Consumption Statistics and Sector Distribution


Gasoline consumption in the United States is substantial, with Americans utilising approximately 123 billion gallons of motor gasoline in 2020, averaging around 337 million gallons per day. Gasoline is a vital fuel in the transportation sector, accounting for around 59% of the total energy consumed in this sector. Light-duty vehicles, including cars, small trucks, and SUVs, contribute to 92% of gasoline consumption in the United States.



Global Production and Consumption Patterns


The United States stands as the largest producer of gasoline globally, followed by China and Japan. Notably, the United States also leads in terms of gasoline consumption, with Japan and Canada following suit. This global perspective sheds light on the importance of gasoline as a widespread energy resource and highlights the significant role played by these nations in the gasoline market.



Gasoline Futures Trading


Gasoline futures are actively traded at the NYMEX, part of the CME Group in the United States. These futures contracts allow market participants, including traders and investors, to speculate on the future price of gasoline and manage their risk exposure. Understanding the dynamics of gasoline futures enables market participants to make informed decisions and capitalize on opportunities in the energy market.


By exploring the intricacies of gasoline futures, we gain valuable insights into the vital role that this fuel plays in the transportation sector. As we conclude this blog post, we hope that the comprehensive exploration of energy futures, including crude oil futures, natural gas futures, and gasoline futures, has provided you with a deeper understanding of these markets and their significance in the global energy landscape.


PETROLEUM FUTURES - CONTRACT SPECIFICATIONS

​

Contract Unit

42,000 gallons

Price Quotation

U.S. dollars and cents per gallon

Trading Hours

​Sunday - Friday 5:00 p.m. - 4:00 p.m. CT

Minimum Price Fluctuation

0.0001 per gallon = $4.20

Product Code

​RB

Listed Contracts

Monthly contracts listed for the current year and the next 3 calendar years.

Settlement Method

Deliverable

Last Trading Day

Last business day of the month prior to the contract month.

Settlement Procedures

Exchange

NYMEX



Conclusion: The Future of Energy Futures


As we conclude this blog post, we reflect on the evolving energy landscape and the role of energy futures in shaping its trajectory. In this section, we will summarise the key points discussed throughout the article and offer insights into the future outlook of energy futures.


Throughout this blog post, we explored the accessibility and demand for energy, highlighting the enduring dominance of petroleum products in global energy consumption. We delved into the world of crude oil futures, uncovering its significance as the primary energy source and the prominence of WTI crude oil futures. We then shifted our focus to natural gas futures, emphasising its historical background, production statistics, and the pivotal role it plays in energy generation. Lastly, we examined gasoline futures, recognising its importance as a fuel for transportation and the dynamics of its production, consumption, and trading.


The energy landscape is undergoing transformative changes, driven by environmental concerns, technological advancements, and shifting consumer preferences. Renewable energy sources are gaining momentum, and governments and industries worldwide are actively exploring sustainable alternatives to meet the growing energy demand. These developments present new opportunities and challenges in the energy futures market.


Energy futures provide avenues for traders and investors to participate in the energy market and manage price risks. However, they also face challenges arising from geopolitical tensions, regulatory changes, and market fluctuations. Staying informed about global energy trends, technological advancements, and policy developments will be crucial for navigating the complexities of energy futures trading.


Engaging in energy futures trading requires a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics, supply-demand fundamentals, and geopolitical factors that influence energy prices. Conducting thorough market analysis, utilising risk management strategies, and staying updated with reliable sources of information are essential for successful trading in energy futures.


As the world strives for a sustainable future, the energy industry is witnessing a growing focus on renewable energy sources and cleaner alternatives. Traders and investors in energy futures can capitalise on the opportunities presented by the transition to a low-carbon economy, including the emergence of renewable energy futures and carbon credits trading.


In conclusion, energy futures play a vital role in the global energy landscape, facilitating price discovery, risk management, and investment opportunities. As the world continues to evolve, embracing sustainable energy futures will be crucial for addressing climate change and meeting the energy needs of future generations. By staying informed, adapting to market trends, and embracing innovation, traders and investors can actively participate in shaping the future of energy futures and contribute to a more sustainable and resilient energy sector.

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